◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2024. 7. 13.날씨미국

USA: CBOT soybeans fall to four-year low due to weak demand and excess supply

CBOT soybean futures fell to their lowest since November 2020 for a third straight session, with August contracts settling at $11.31 1/4 after a 17 3/4 cent drop. The USDA rated 68% of the U.S. soybean crop good or excellent, the best for this time of year since 2020.

Wheat rose slightly on European yield concerns and possible harvest delays from Hurricane Beryl, while corn edged up on a technical move.

중요한 이유

Strong U.S. crop ratings and weak crush margins keep downward pressure on soybeans and soybean meal. Wheat's gain on European crop worries provides only modest support.

영향 대상대두▼대두박▼밀 (SRW)▲옥수수◆

출처 1건
trade4go.com2024. 7. 13.

가격 반응 및 이력

대두▼하락현재까지1d -5.0%5d -3.3%20d -9.4%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 363건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 42%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2023. 6. 29.Soybean oil supply and demand: Scott Gerlt comments - Fastmarkets+5.2%
2019. 12. 9.Canola, soybeans and potatoes left in fields after weather and trade war deliver 'brutal' year for farming | Financial Post+2.0%
2026. 7. 29.CBOT soybeans sink on favorable US weather | Reuters-4.7%
2016. 8. 25.U.S. grains: Soybeans sag to near two-week low as crop impresses scouts - Grainews-6.9%
2024. 2. 7.Corn, soybeans touch new multi-year lows on grain glut worries - The Globe and Mail-1.1%

대두박▼하락현재까지1d -8.2%5d -7.5%20d -9.6%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 118건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.8% 변동(상승 35%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.2%~+0.4%), 20거래일 동안 -1.6%.

2016. 8. 25.U.S. grains: Soybeans sag to near two-week low as crop impresses scouts - Grainews-5.8%
2023. 11. 25.Soybeans fall as rain benefits top supplier Brazil - Markets - Business Recorder-5.8%
2026. 7. 29.Soybeans Sink on Weather, Pulling Down Corn and Wheat: Cattle Continue to Recover - AgWeb-2.2%
2016. 7. 20.Near term weather forecasts pressure soybeans, corn - Brownfield Ag News-5.1%
2017. 7. 13.Big drop for corn, soybeans, and wheat - Brownfield Ag News-2.3%

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d -3.5%5d -3.2%20d -2.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,072건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2021. 11. 22.Wheat soars to 9-year peak on supply concerns, strong demand | Reuters-0.1%
2020. 10. 6.Dry weather pushes CBOT wheat, soybeans to multi-year peaks | Financial Post+0.6%
2019. 2. 19.Australian wheat crop falls to an 11-year low | SA-3.8%
2020. 11. 6.Dry Brazil, Demand Set Soybeans On Track For Biggest Weekly Gain Since August | ESM Magazine+0.0%
2023. 8. 8.Australian Supply and Demand Update - August 2023-1.2%

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d -1.5%5d -1.5%20d -2.1%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2021. 11. 4.US oat prices soar as supply dips due to drought, demand | World Grain+3.7%
2021. 11. 4.As demand for oat milk increases, oat supplies wanes due to drought, demand | Dairy Processing+3.7%
2020. 8. 28.Soybeans supported by demand, damage concerns - Brownfield Ag News+0.0%
2024. 12. 9.Weather made for a challenging year for corn and soybean farmers - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+1.9%
2023. 2. 17.High Yield with Less Rainfall: Corn and Soybean in Illinois in 2022 - farmdoc-1.6%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

연관 가격 변동

대두-7.2%5개 기간 · 2024. 7. 14.까지-3.3σ
CBOT soybeans fell to a four-year low on weak demand and excess supply, with the best US crop ratings since 2020.
대두박-7.5%1개 기간 · 2024. 7. 14.까지-6.3σ
CBOT soybeans fell to a four-year low on weak demand and excess supply with strong US crop ratings, a bearish supply backdrop for meal.
대두-5.0%1개 기간 · 2024. 7. 14.까지-5.0σ
Prices at a four-year low on excess supply and strong crop ratings set up the downtrend and selling momentum.

대두 SOY · GP ▸

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대두박 SBM · GP ▸

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