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CME live cattle futures declined as large domestic supplies weighed on prices after a fire at a Tyson Foods slaughterhouse in Kansas temporarily removed a major buyer of livestock. The USDA opened an investigation into whether unfair practices explain the wide gap between cattle and beef prices.
Reduced packer capacity has shifted cattle to other plants and pressured cash cattle, which weighs on feeder cattle demand and futures values while the USDA probe adds uncertainty to packer pricing.
advancedeconomicsolutions.com2019. 8. 30.과거 하락 물류 이벤트 29건 이후, 생우은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 38%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.0%~+0.5%), 20거래일 동안 -3.7%.
과거 하락 물류 이벤트 20건 이후, 비육용 소은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.3% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.7%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +2.1%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
CME live cattle futures fell as ample cattle supplies met reduced packer demand after the Tyson fire, and the USDA probe added uncertainty, which is the mechanism for the late-August weakness.
CME cattle futures declined on large supplies, the lost Tyson buyer and the USDA probe, which is directly in the move window and pressured feeder cattle.
Futures declined on large supplies and a removed buyer after the fire, plus the USDA probe, a negative sentiment backdrop heading into the Sept 3 drop.
