
Ever.ag's Jenny Wackershouser says US domestic dairy demand has lagged growing processing capacity and a 200,000-plus cow herd increase. Exports must absorb extra production, but European cheese prices have fallen to about $1.50, so US exporters may need prices near $1.30 to compete.
Weak domestic demand and a global dairy glut mean milk prices are unlikely to rally in 2026, keeping pressure on dairy-linked feed demand.
過去の弱気な貿易イベント49件の後、牛乳(クラスIII) は5営業日で中央値 -0.3% 動き(39% が上昇。中央50%は -4.7% から +1.5%)、20営業日では -0.4% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Ever.ag's bearish 2026 outlook says domestic demand lags growing processing capacity and herd expansion, and that US cheese would need to fall toward $1.30 to compete in export markets, pointing to lower cheese and Class III values.