Oil jumps 4% on reports China halts fuel exports, US troops head to Middle East

過去の強気な地政学イベント656件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.9% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +6.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2025/06/11Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+14.7%
• 2024/10/03Oil prices turn higher for the year on risks to crude flow in the Middle East - MarketWatch+3.3%
• 2019/06/14Oil Market: Middle East tanker attacks, US-Iran tensions in focus+4.3%
• 2026/07/29Oil jumps 7% on escalating Middle East airstrikes-2.3%
• 2026/10/01Oil prices rise $3 as China suspends fuel exports+2.6%

過去の強気な地政学イベント626件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +2.1% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +8.5%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。

• 2025/06/11Oil prices jumps 4% to 2-month high as tensions rise in Middle East | Reuters+15.2%
• 2024/10/03Oil prices turn higher for the year on risks to crude flow in the Middle East - MarketWatch+4.4%
• 2019/06/14Oil Market: Middle East tanker attacks, US-Iran tensions in focus+8.5%
• 2026/07/29Oil jumps 7% on escalating Middle East airstrikes-4.4%
• 2026/10/01Oil prices rise $3 as China suspends fuel exports-2.3%

過去の強気な地政学イベント250件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +1.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -3.6% から +8.7%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2026/05/07Middle East fuel shock exacerbates rising US ag export costs | S&P Global+5.0%
• 2026/10/01Oil prices rise $3 as China suspends fuel exports-3.7%
• 2025/06/13Diesel most exposed to Middle East conflict, US futures surge 8% | Reuters+15.6%
• 2025/06/13Traders pile into $80 US oil bets as tensions rise in Middle East+15.6%
• 2026/03/04US diesel hits $4 per gallon as fuel costs rise amid escalating Middle East conflict | Reuters+6.1%