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Rabobank's Dairy Quarterly reports that milk collections in the Big Seven exporting regions were nearly flat year-on-year in Q4 2018, with US growth at about 1%. Output is falling in the EU and Australia, where weather hit feed quality, while Brazil and New Zealand grew before stalling in February 2019.
Rabobank expects a challenging production environment to continue through the first half of 2019.
Stalling milk output with weak global supply supports dairy prices and raises the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients for buyers. Tight milk supply tends to keep farmgate prices firm.
dairyindustries.com2019/04/02過去の強気なレポートイベント237件の後、牛乳(クラスIII) は5営業日で中央値 +0.0% 動き（51% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +0.6%）、20営業日では +1.2% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Rabobank's outlook for constrained milk output in major exporting regions through H1 2019 is a bullish supply signal released on the move date.
