Westpac analysts note the yuan had followed a clear appreciation trend from August 2017 until mid-June 2018, then reversed. Since June 12, nearly all G10 currencies fell against the dollar, and the yuan was among the weakest in Asia at about -3.2%.
The analysts doubt China views a weaker yuan as a deliberate policy tool in the trade fight.
The broad dollar strength and yuan weakness pressure commodity-linked currencies and raise the dollar cost of Chinese imports, a modest headwind for US feed exports. The analysts' view that the yuan slide is not a deliberate policy tool limits the expected scale of the price effect.
過去の強気なマクロイベント398件の後、中国人民元(1 USDあたりCNY) は5営業日で中央値 +0.0% 動き(56% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +0.5%)、20営業日では +0.0% 動きました。
過去の傾向を示すのに十分な類似イベントがまだありません。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Westpac analysis documents the reversal of the yuan's appreciation trend and its roughly 3% drop since mid-June, confirming the move within the window, though it gives limited causal detail.