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2024/10/30地政学グローバル

What's in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4?

Crude prices swung by more than $10 per barrel in recent weeks, with oil falling in Q3 as investors lost faith in OPEC+ market management. Israel-Iran conflict risk has been the main focus, with crude surging in early October.

Tensions within OPEC+ and slowing Chinese oil demand add to the outlook uncertainty.

重要性

Geopolitical risk to crude supply supports prices, while OPEC+ output increases and weaker Chinese demand weigh on them. The net direction for crude remains uncertain heading into Q4.

影響を受ける銘柄原油(WTI)◆原油(ブレント)◆

1 件のソース
focus-economics.comMiriam Dowd2024/10/30

価格反応と履歴

原油(WTI)◆中立現時点1d +2.1%5d +7.1%20d +2.3%

過去の中立な地政学イベント60件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -0.9% 動き（43% が上昇。中央50%は -4.7% から +2.3%）、20営業日では -1.9% 動きました。

2025/06/24What influences crude oil more? US bombs or Iran's silent allies-4.6%
2018/07/13Oil falls for second week as supply concerns ease-1.2%
2026/03/09Markets seesaw over oil price fears as Trump says war to be ‘ended soon’ - The Washington Post+8.5%
2021/06/30Oil steady, traders on sidelines as OPEC+ talks drag on - The Globe and Mail-1.2%
2018/07/13Oil rises but declines for the week as supply concerns ease-1.2%

原油(ブレント)◆中立現時点1d +2.5%5d +7.2%20d +3.6%

過去の中立な地政学イベント63件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -0.5% 動き（44% が上昇。中央50%は -4.4% から +2.6%）、20営業日では -2.7% 動きました。

2025/06/24What influences crude oil more? US bombs or Iran's silent allies-6.9%
2018/07/13Oil falls for second week as supply concerns ease-1.4%
2026/03/09Markets seesaw over oil price fears as Trump says war to be ‘ended soon’ - The Washington Post+9.5%
2021/06/30Oil steady, traders on sidelines as OPEC+ talks drag on - The Globe and Mail+0.1%
2018/07/13Oil rises but declines for the week as supply concerns ease-1.4%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

原油(WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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原油(ブレント) BRENT · GP ▸

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