米国がイランのケシム島を攻撃し和平見通しが後退、原油価格上昇

過去の強気な地政学イベント626件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +2.1% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +8.5%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。

• 2018/05/09Oil jumps to highest since 2014 after US quits Iran deal+3.5%
• 2026/05/21US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-9.1%
• 2026/07/29Oil rises as US-Iran tension escalates after Iraq strikes, missile attack-4.4%
• 2026/08/31Brent nears $90 after US-Iran strikes: Why is crude oil price rising?+9.6%
• 2025/03/20Oil prices settle $1 higher after US issues new Iran-related sanctions+3.9%

過去の強気な地政学イベント656件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.9% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +6.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2018/05/09Oil jumps to highest since 2014 after US quits Iran deal+5.6%
• 2026/05/21US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-11.6%
• 2026/07/29Oil rises as US-Iran tension escalates after Iraq strikes, missile attack-2.3%
• 2026/08/31Brent nears $90 after US-Iran strikes: Why is crude oil price rising?+10.8%
• 2025/03/20Oil prices settle $1 higher after US issues new Iran-related sanctions+4.0%

過去の強気な地政学イベント250件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +1.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -3.6% から +8.7%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2025/06/16European oil products rise further amid fresh Israel-Iran strikes-1.2%
• 2026/03/01Oil prices are rising sharply after US and Israeli attacks | AP News+36.4%
• 2025/01/10Oil prices rally 3% as US hits Russian oil with tougher sanctions+10.5%
• 2023/09/25MYR ENDS HIGHER vs USD AS OIL PRICE RISES   – Alpha Southeast Asia+1.1%
• 2026/04/01Fertilizer Prices Have ‘Significant’ Rise After Attack on Iran-7.8%