原油が急落、米中間選挙を前にドル安

過去の弱気なマクロイベント565件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -1.4% 動き（41% が上昇。中央50%は -5.9% から +3.0%）、20営業日では -0.5% 動きました。

• 2018/02/02Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens-7.0%
• 2023/05/30Canadian dollar dips as oil prices fall more than 4%-0.4%
• 2023/11/01Oil falls to settle at 3-week low as Fed policy stance lifts dollar-4.5%
• 2017/01/27Canadian dollar weakens as oil falls, investors brace for Poloz+0.2%
• 2021/12/15Canadian dollar at nearly 3-month low as oil prices fall | Reuters+0.7%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント312件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -1.7% 動き（38% が上昇。中央50%は -5.4% から +2.3%）、20営業日では -1.7% 動きました。

• 2018/02/02Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens-6.3%
• 2023/11/01Oil falls to settle at 3-week low as Fed policy stance lifts dollar-5.3%
• 2022/12/06Ringgit ends lower against US dollar as oil prices decline | Malay Mail-6.1%
• 2020/12/07Ringgit falls against US dollar on lack of demand, lower Fitch downgrade | Malaysia now+1.7%
• 2022/12/15Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates-2.2%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント1,637件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（39% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.3%）、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。

• 2025/05/01Dollar falls broadly ahead of US data, tariff uncertainty-0.4%
• 2023/03/21Dollar, Sterling Fall Ahead Of Fed, BoE Meetings Amid Banking Stress-0.6%
• 2023/03/22Dollar falls after Fed raises rates, indicates one more hike ahead-1.0%
• 2023/10/31US dollar falls as markets believe Fed is done hiking rates | Reuters-1.4%
• 2025/08/06Dollar falls as traders bet on more rate cuts-0.5%