ブレント、105ドル割れ　米イラン和平協議への期待で3カ月超ぶりの大幅安の後、原油は横ばい

過去の弱気な地政学イベント15件の後、天然ガス は5営業日で中央値 -1.1% 動き（40% が上昇。中央50%は -9.2% から +2.4%）、20営業日では +4.7% 動きました。

• 2026/05/06Brent Crude Price: Oil and gas plunge after report US and Iran near deal to end war+2.4%
• 2026/04/17Oil settles down 9% after Iran declares Strait of Hormuz open | Reuters-3.0%
• 2026/02/02Oil Falls 5%, ULSD Tumbles 14% on De-Risking Over Iran-30.8%
• 2026/03/24Traders bet $500 million on oil price just before Trump's post on delay to Iran attack | Reuters-1.1%
• 2026/05/05Oil Prices Tumble Over 3% as Risk Sentiment Shifts and Demand Concerns Weigh on WTI and Brent+3.5%

過去の弱気な地政学イベント255件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -2.4% 動き（31% が上昇。中央50%は -7.0% から +1.7%）、20営業日では -5.0% 動きました。

• 2026/03/23Brent Below $100 on Oil, Fuel Swing; US Cites Iran Talks+2.2%
• 2026/04/08The Commodities Feed: Oil slumps below $100 after US, Iran agree to two-week ceasefire | ING THINK-18.9%
• 2020/01/09Oil Steadies Below $60 in Midst of U.S.-Iran Conflict - Bloomberg-3.0%
• 2026/05/27Oil settles 5% lower as investors await updates on US-Iran peace deal talks | Reuters-0.2%
• 2026/10/29Brent crude falls below $115, WTI near $101 as US-Iran peace hopes offset fears of growing Middle East conflict-2.3%

過去の弱気な地政学イベント250件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -3.1% 動き（36% が上昇。中央50%は -7.9% から +1.6%）、20営業日では -5.5% 動きました。

• 2026/03/23Brent Below $100 on Oil, Fuel Swing; US Cites Iran Talks+1.5%
• 2026/04/08The Commodities Feed: Oil slumps below $100 after US, Iran agree to two-week ceasefire | ING THINK-13.7%
• 2020/01/09Oil Steadies Below $60 in Midst of U.S.-Iran Conflict - Bloomberg-4.1%
• 2026/05/27Oil settles 5% lower as investors await updates on US-Iran peace deal talks | Reuters-3.9%
• 2026/10/29Brent crude falls below $115, WTI near $101 as US-Iran peace hopes offset fears of growing Middle East conflict-5.4%