
Researchers writing in The Veterinary Record assess how African swine fever could reach China, which holds more than half the world's pigs. The virus has no vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected domestic pigs.
Risk factors include movements of people, goods and wild boar, and small family farms that keep most of China's roughly 500 million pigs.
An outbreak in China would cut domestic pork supply and likely reduce demand for feed ingredients, while trade bans would weigh on global hog and meat prices. The article describes a risk rather than an outbreak, so the price effect is limited for now.
過去の弱気な疾病イベント117件の後、ホッグ(リーン) は5営業日で中央値 -0.6% 動き(36% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +1.6%)、20営業日では +1.2% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。