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2018/02/16政策グローバル

OPEC Considers Moving the Goalposts - Here's Where They Might Go

OPEC and Russia are close to their goal of shrinking global oil inventories after a year of production cuts. OPEC is now considering changing its inventory target, with possible new benchmarks under discussion.

重要性

A revised inventory target would signal how long output restraint lasts, affecting expectations for crude supply and prices. The outcome is uncertain, so the price effect is mainly a sentiment factor for buyers tracking energy costs.

影響を受ける銘柄原油(WTI)◆原油(ブレント)◆

1 件のソース
bloomberg.comGrant Smith2018/02/16

価格反応と履歴

原油(WTI)◆中立現時点1d +0.6%5d +3.4%20d +1.4%

過去の中立な政策イベント187件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（49% が上昇。中央50%は -4.0% から +3.5%）、20営業日では +0.1% 動きました。

2023/11/30OPEC+ Production Cuts Fail to Convince Oil Traders Amid Lack of Detail - Bloomberg-11.0%
2022/06/30OPEC+ Ratifies August Oil Production Increase, Leaving Next Move Unresolved - Bloomberg-6.3%
2026/01/26OPEC+ Likely to Stick With Supply Pause in March, Delegates Say - Bloomberg+6.4%
2017/08/02OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and Sanctions Update: Connecting the Dots-0.2%
2022/10/31OPEC Says Supply Surplus Was Main Reason for Oil Production Cut - Bloomberg+5.4%

原油(ブレント)◆中立現時点1d +1.5%5d +4.2%20d +1.3%

過去の中立な政策イベント175件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -0.9% 動き（45% が上昇。中央50%は -3.6% から +3.0%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

2023/12/01Skepticism and Confusion: What Analysts Say About the OPEC+ Cuts - Bloomberg-9.9%
2023/11/30OPEC+ Production Cuts Fail to Convince Oil Traders Amid Lack of Detail - Bloomberg-10.5%
2022/06/30OPEC+ Ratifies August Oil Production Increase, Leaving Next Move Unresolved - Bloomberg-11.8%
2022/10/31OPEC Says Supply Surplus Was Main Reason for Oil Production Cut - Bloomberg+4.0%
2017/08/02OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and Sanctions Update: Connecting the Dots+0.9%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

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