China oil futures launch may threaten primacy of U.S. dollar: UBS

過去の弱気なマクロイベント1,637件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（39% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.3%）、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。

• 2016/12/02Dollar tanks as U.S. jobs cast doubt on pace of future hikes | Reuters-0.5%
• 2019/01/04Dollar cycle may be about to turn, supporting oil prices: Kemp-1.2%
• 2017/08/21Macroscope | How to read the outlook for the US dollar | South China Morning Post-0.6%
• 2019/11/04Three Forces Weakening US Dollar’s Grip On Commodity Pricing | Wood Mackenzie+0.5%
• 2017/12/15Here’s what’s threatening the dollar in 2018 - MarketWatch-0.2%

過去の中立なマクロイベント102件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（49% が上昇。中央50%は -3.3% から +2.5%）、20営業日では +1.8% 動きました。

• 2026/07/29ING Says Dollar to Take Cue from Oil Prices If Fed Holds Rate | Financial Post-4.4%
• 2026/01/01COMMENTARY: China overtakes OPEC+ as the main oil price maker+0.8%
• 2017/12/01Crude oil prices to be under pressure in first half of 2018: S&P-1.5%
• 2026/05/29Cattle futures slip on fuel price demand fears - CME | The Beef Site+4.6%
• 2022/11/28Canadian dollar posts biggest decline in six weeks as China outlook weighs - The Globe and Mail+4.6%