Diversity of El Niño Variability Makes Prediction Challenging

過去の中立なレポートイベント770件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.1% から +1.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2019/05/13WASDE Predicts Milk Production and prices Up for 2020 • Northwest Iowa Dairy Outlook • Iowa State University Extension and Outreach+6.9%
• 2017/01/20County-by-county variability of bioenergy crop yields in the U.S.+0.4%
• 2021/03/02Grain prices trend higher with more demand and climate variability: ABARES | Farm Online | ACT+6.1%
• 2020/02/27Big data helps farmers adapt to climate variability | EurekAlert!+2.6%
• 2018/03/28Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University+3.3%

過去の中立なレポートイベント563件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（48% が上昇。中央50%は -1.7% から +1.6%）、20営業日では -0.1% 動きました。

• 2017/01/20County-by-county variability of bioenergy crop yields in the U.S.-1.9%
• 2026/01/13January USDA reports with plenty of surprises in both directions • Ag Decision Maker • Iowa State University Extension and Outreach+1.9%
• 2020/02/27Big data helps farmers adapt to climate variability | EurekAlert!+2.0%
• 2018/03/28Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University-0.4%
• 2023/03/28New method combines commodity tracing and species data to quantify impacts of soy imports on biodiversity+5.5%

過去の中立なレポートイベント406件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（47% が上昇。中央50%は -1.6% から +1.5%）、20営業日では +0.0% 動きました。

• 2021/03/02Grain prices trend higher with more demand and climate variability: ABARES | Farm Online | ACT-2.2%
• 2018/03/28Weather phenomena such as El Niño affect up to two-thirds of the world’s harvests | Aalto University+1.0%
• 2024/01/16Good yields after a challenging year - Mecardo-0.8%
• 2021/10/11Most of record production being used+2.0%
• 2023/10/22Mint Primer: Making sense of India’s record food production | Mint-2.5%