イラン戦争による肥料不足、来年の穀物収穫に影を落とす恐れ

過去の強気な地政学イベント205件の後、尿素 は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き（53% が上昇。中央50%は -2.1% から +3.0%）、20営業日では -0.4% 動きました。

• 2022/03/26Fertiliser companies dig in for hard times amid Russia-Ukraine war+8.1%
• 2026/03/05Fertiliser costs are soaring amid war in the Middle East. Will your grocery bill follow?+3.0%
• 2026/03/05How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+3.0%
• 2026/07/02Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? | IFPRI+2.7%
• 2020/06/06From the Persian Gulf to the granaries of Lithuania: the war in Iran threatens a price shock for food and fertiliser - Agrobitė+1.3%

過去の強気な地政学イベント323件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 +0.5% 動き（57% が上昇。中央50%は -1.5% から +2.9%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2026/03/05How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+2.4%
• 2026/07/02Iran war: From fertilizer to food crisis? | IFPRI+0.8%
• 2026/04/01The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production-1.7%
• 2026/03/03Iran conflict disrupts Gulf fertilizer trade+0.7%
• 2021/09/21Food prices poised to surge with fertilizer at highest in years+1.8%

過去の強気な地政学イベント361件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2026/03/05Fertiliser costs are soaring amid war in the Middle East. Will your grocery bill follow?+1.7%
• 2026/03/05How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming+1.7%
• 2026/04/01The Iran war’s impacts on global fertilizer markets and food production-2.5%
• 2026/04/30World Bank Warns Fertilizer Prices Could Rise More Than 30% in 2026 - Ecofin Agency-3.2%
• 2026/08/26Grain Markets Explode to New Contract and Multi-Year Highs: What Drove It? - AgWeb+5.4%