The risk of flashpoints escalate for global oil supply

過去の強気な地政学イベント656件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.9% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +6.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2026/04/01How the Iran War Is Disrupting Global Oil and Gas Supply-12.2%
• 2024/11/21Oil rises 2% on supply worries as Russia-Ukraine war escalates-0.3%
• 2022/01/25Oil rises on concerns global political risks could tighten supplies+5.5%
• 2018/06/27Oil rises on supply losses, US push to isolate Iran+2.5%
• 2019/09/19Oil prices rise as Saudi supply risks come into focus-2.4%

過去の強気な地政学イベント626件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +2.1% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +8.5%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。

• 2026/04/01How the Iran War Is Disrupting Global Oil and Gas Supply-6.6%
• 2024/11/21Oil rises 2% on supply worries as Russia-Ukraine war escalates-0.3%
• 2022/01/25Oil rises on concerns global political risks could tighten supplies+5.6%
• 2026/03/01The Middle East conflict demonstrates the fragility of global food supply | World Economic Forum+35.6%
• 2018/06/27Oil rises on supply losses, US push to isolate Iran+0.7%