The US dollar index has weakened since mid-August, and the broad trade-weighted dollar has fallen further in September despite rising 10-year Treasury yields near 3.1%. Most G10 currencies gained against the dollar in September, with the yen the exception, while many emerging market currencies have fallen sharply this year.
The author attributes part of the dollar's decline to positioning and improving risk appetite.
A softer dollar tends to support commodity prices and helps emerging-market currencies, which can ease import costs for feed buyers in those markets. Its drivers remain unclear, so the trend may not persist.
過去の弱気なマクロイベント1,637件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き(39% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.3%)、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。