Export issues ahead as Russia invades Ukraine: Analyst’s insight

過去の強気な地政学イベント361件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2022/02/24Wheat, soybeans hit nine-year highs as Russia invades Ukraine+6.8%
• 2022/01/31Grain exports likely disrupted in a Russian, Ukraine conflict, analyst says-1.7%
• 2023/09/15Why Is Russia Blocking Ukraine's Food Exports?+0.1%
• 2022/02/24Commodity supplies at risk as Russia invades Ukraine | Reuters+6.8%
• 2024/10/10Ukraine: Russia kills eight in latest attack on Odesa port-0.5%

過去の強気な地政学イベント323件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 +0.5% 動き（57% が上昇。中央50%は -1.5% から +2.9%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2022/02/24Wheat, soybeans hit nine-year highs as Russia invades Ukraine+6.5%
• 2022/01/31Grain exports likely disrupted in a Russian, Ukraine conflict, analyst says+0.6%
• 2023/09/15Why Is Russia Blocking Ukraine's Food Exports?-7.1%
• 2022/02/24Commodity supplies at risk as Russia invades Ukraine | Reuters+6.5%
• 2024/10/10Ukraine: Russia kills eight in latest attack on Odesa port-2.6%

過去の強気な地政学イベント110件の後、大豆油 は5営業日で中央値 +1.8% 動き（65% が上昇。中央50%は -0.7% から +3.6%）、20営業日では -0.4% 動きました。

• 2026/01/01Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports cause drop in food exports+0.3%
• 2022/02/24Factbox: Russia’s Ukraine invasion seen disrupting vegetable oil, grain trade flows+5.0%
• 2022/03/11Overcoming the threats to global food systems from Russia's invasion of Ukraine | IFPRI-6.3%
• 2026/07/27Black Sea grain trapped as Russia, Ukraine attacks continue | World Grain-5.7%
• 2022/02/28Euro slides with U.S. stock futures as Ukraine risks rise+4.7%