USDA outlook chairman Mark Jekanowski said milk and dairy prices have started to decline faster than expected. USDA projects 2023 US milk output to grow by under 1% while the all-milk price falls about 15%, nearly $4 per cwt.
Output growth combined with weak demand and strong international competition points to lower milk prices, while feed costs stay firm and squeeze producer margins. The projected price drop is large enough to move dairy and feed-related market expectations.
過去の弱気なレポートイベント273件の後、牛乳(クラスIII) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き(39% が上昇。中央50%は -1.3% から +0.4%)、20営業日では -1.4% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
USDA's outlook for a roughly 15% fall in the all-milk price and prices declining faster than expected reinforced bearish sentiment and likely encouraged selling.
USDA outlook on 2023-01-30 projecting a roughly 15% drop in the all-milk price and faster-than-expected declines in dairy prices fed bearish sentiment ahead of the 1 Feb drop.