Oil slips 0.4% on dim OPEC demand forecast after early jump on Gulf of Mexico storm

過去の強気な天候イベント40件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +1.6% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -3.7% から +5.3%）、20営業日では +6.1% 動きました。

• 2020/09/15Oil jumps nearly 3% as Gulf Coast storm forces output cuts+5.5%
• 2024/09/12Oil rises 2% as storm batters US Gulf of Mexico production+5.3%
• 2024/11/05Oil prices edge up on Gulf of Mexico storm ahead of US election results-2.7%
• 2020/10/27Oil jumps more than 2% on U.S. Gulf shutdowns-4.6%
• 2018/10/10Hurricane knocks out 42 percent of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil output-4.0%

過去の天候イベント37件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +2.2% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -3.5% から +5.1%）、20営業日では +4.9% 動きました。

• 2024/09/13Oil eases on resuming US output after storm, rising rig count | Reuters+3.5%
• 2023/06/22Analyst Insight: Rapeseed market influences – where next for soyabeans? | AHDB-4.1%

過去の強気な天候イベント39件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +2.4% 動き（59% が上昇。中央50%は -4.5% から +6.1%）、20営業日では +8.9% 動きました。

• 2026/01/26ULSD Rises Amid Winter Storm, Oil Slips on Output Returns+9.4%
• 2017/08/30Crude slips, gasoline jumps as storm shuts a fifth of US fuel output+5.7%
• 2024/12/30Diesel benchmark up slightly; futures market soars on forecast of extreme cold - FreightWaves+5.6%
• 2020/08/23Oil Gains as U.S. Gulf Output and Refineries Halted Before Storm - Bloomberg+0.4%
• 2024/12/30Oil rises on diesel demand boost in sparse holiday trade | Reuters+5.6%