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Middle East urea spot prices rose above $480/t FOB, up 18% since early January, and North African deals pushed prices above $500/t for the first time since November 2025. China is absent from export trade due to a lack of export quotas, and Iranian seasonal gas diversions are removing up to 450,000 t/month from the market.
Tight export supply from China, Iran and Indonesia meets expected US and Indian buying, which supports firm urea prices into spring. Higher fertilizer costs squeeze feed-grain margins and raise input costs for feed producers.
profercy.comChris Yearsley2026/02/04過去の強気な貿易イベント176件の後、尿素 は5営業日で中央値 +0.1% 動き（51% が上昇。中央50%は -1.3% から +2.4%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Supply cutbacks (no Chinese export quotas, Iranian seasonal gas diversions of up to 450kt/month) combined with US and Indian demand lifted urea spot prices, which is a direct supply and trade-flow driver, though published after the move date.
