China's 'market condition' caveat on U.S. ag purchases adds to trade deal doubts

過去の弱気な貿易イベント803件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 +0.0% 動き（51% が上昇。中央50%は -1.7% から +1.7%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2021/12/23China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.1%
• 2022/02/08U.S. December trade data reveals massive shortfall in China's 'Phase 1' purchases-0.7%
• 2025/09/25US-Argentine Deal Adds to Farm Groups' Frustration Over Lack of Chinese Purchases+0.4%
• 2020/10/27Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE-3.4%
• 2026/04/25Trump Administration Adjusts China Soybean Purchase Deadline as Officials Clarify Timeline Confusion | MarketSpy+2.1%

過去の弱気な貿易イベント683件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（47% が上昇。中央50%は -1.7% から +1.6%）、20営業日では +0.3% 動きました。

• 2021/12/23China to fall short on promises to U.S. as trade deal ends-0.7%
• 2023/04/25China's move to cancel US corn purchases leaves Asian traders in split-2.4%
• 2022/02/08U.S. December trade data reveals massive shortfall in China's 'Phase 1' purchases+1.9%
• 2020/10/27Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE-3.7%
• 2026/06/01Explainer: What do China's new US farm purchases mean for global trade?-5.5%

過去の弱気な貿易イベント375件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（47% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +1.1%）、20営業日では -0.1% 動きました。

• 2026/10/09China Needs $1.2B/Week in U.S. Ag Buys to Hit Trade Deal — Agribusiness Wire+4.0%
• 2026/10/26Cash market update: Wheat falls on rising supply despite Black Sea risks as China’s US soybean purchases near 70% of its commitment - Fastmarkets-0.4%
• 2026/03/16CRMAgri - Latest - Soybeans hit limit down on US/ China trade doubts-2.8%
• 2018/07/09As Tariffs Bite, China Cancels U.S. Soy Deals and Hunt Is on for New Export Markets-1.9%
• 2023/04/24US corn falls after China cancels purchases; drags wheat, soy lower-8.3%