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2020/03/16天候ブラジル

AgRural reduces soybean forecast for 19/20 crop due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul

AgRural cut its 2019/20 Brazil soybean crop estimate to 124.3 million tons from 125.6 million, due to drought in Rio Grande do Sul. Brazil is set for its lowest soybean productivity since 2011/12, though other states partly offset the losses.

Harvest was 59% complete by March 12, slightly ahead of the five-year average.

重要性

A smaller Brazilian soybean crop reduces export supply and supports soybean and meal prices, especially as Brazil is the main competitor to U.S. exports. The effect is moderated by offsetting gains elsewhere in Brazil.

影響を受ける銘柄大豆▲大豆粕▲

1 件のソース
datamarnews.com2020/03/16

価格反応と履歴

大豆▲強気現時点1d -3.0%5d +1.9%20d +0.9%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,079件の後、大豆は5営業日で中央値 +0.3% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.0%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

2023/03/08Drought affects crops in Rio Grande do Sul-1.7%
2025/03/12Drought shrinks soybean crops, wiping R$13bn from Rio Grande do Sul economy+1.5%
2019/02/06Drought takes toll on soybean harvest in Goiás but spares Paraná - DatamarNews-0.3%
2022/01/17Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts+3.4%
2023/09/04Crop tour sees lower soybean estimates due to drought, record heat | World Grain-0.3%

大豆粕▲強気現時点1d +0.1%5d +9.9%20d -2.5%

過去の強気な天候イベント453件の後、大豆粕は5営業日で中央値 +0.5% 動き（55% が上昇。中央50%は -1.6% から +2.7%）、20営業日では +0.5% 動きました。

2023/03/08Drought affects crops in Rio Grande do Sul-1.9%
2025/03/12Drought shrinks soybean crops, wiping R$13bn from Rio Grande do Sul economy+1.6%
2019/02/06Drought takes toll on soybean harvest in Goiás but spares Paraná - DatamarNews-0.1%
2022/01/17Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts-9.7%
2023/04/24Argentina Soybean Crop Smallest in 25 Years Due to Historic Drought - AgWeb-1.9%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

大豆 SOY · GP ▸

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大豆粕 SBM · GP ▸

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