Oil Rally Hinges on Next OPEC Meeting

過去の強気な政策イベント438件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +0.9% 動き（61% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +4.6%）、20営業日では +2.0% 動きました。

• 2018/06/22Oil rallies over 3% as dollar dips, OPEC's meeting proceeds+11.9%
• 2017/05/25OPEC : OPEC 172nd Meeting concludes-5.4%
• 2019/10/17OPEC’s Next Meeting May Unveil New Approach: Preemption - Bloomberg+4.7%
• 2019/11/30OPEC Oil Output Slips Before Vienna Meeting+3.6%
• 2021/02/03OPEC+ maintains oil policy amid price rally+6.5%

過去の強気な政策イベント442件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.4% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +4.9%）、20営業日では +2.1% 動きました。

• 2018/06/22Oil rallies over 3% as dollar dips, OPEC's meeting proceeds+5.6%
• 2017/05/25OPEC : OPEC 172nd Meeting concludes-7.0%
• 2019/10/17OPEC’s Next Meeting May Unveil New Approach: Preemption - Bloomberg+2.5%
• 2019/11/30OPEC Oil Output Slips Before Vienna Meeting+3.1%
• 2021/02/03OPEC+ maintains oil policy amid price rally+5.9%

過去の弱気な政策イベント21件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 -2.4% 動き（38% が上昇。中央50%は -6.5% から +4.7%）、20営業日では -1.1% 動きました。

• 2021/06/01OPEC to raise oil production in July, stays mum on what’s next+3.6%
• 2022/12/04OPEC Plus opts against cutting production as oil prices fall - The Washington Post-12.5%
• 2022/03/31OIL FUTURES: US SPR release, OPEC+ output hike send crude sharply lower | S&P Global-8.3%
• 2022/03/31Opec+ sticks to output rise plans for May as US announces release of record oil reserves | The National-8.3%
• 2021/11/24Reserve oil being released into market that may have peaked - FreightWaves-13.2%