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A GlobalSource Partners Brazil economics report says the post-election and vaccine-driven rally in risk assets has lifted Brazilian stocks, but the gains are seen as temporary. It cites a worsening fiscal situation, a second COVID-19 wave in Brazil's South and Southeast, and no major reform bills close to approval.
A weaker real and fiscal stress tend to raise the cost of imported feed inputs priced in dollars for Brazil, while a firmer real would lower them. The report's view that the rally is temporary points to renewed BRL weakness that would support Brazilian soybean and corn export competitiveness.
globalsourcepartners.comCristina Pinotti, Affonso Pastore, Marcelo Gazzano, Paula Magalhães, Bruno Cordeiro2020/11/23過去の強気なマクロイベント301件の後、ブラジルレアル(1 USDあたりBRL) は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き（57% が上昇。中央50%は -1.2% から +1.7%）、20営業日では +1.0% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
