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The US Department of Commerce preliminarily found that phosphate fertilizer imports from Morocco and Russia benefit from countervailable subsidies. Calculated rates were 23.46% for OCP in Morocco, and 20.94%, 72.5% and 32.92% for Russian producers, with cash deposits to begin within days.
Final determinations are due by February 8, 2021.
Preliminary duties of up to 72.5% sharply raise the cost of imported phosphate into the US, which should lift domestic DAP and phosphate prices and tighten import flows.
investors.mosaicco.com2020/11/24
thefederalregister.orgCommerce Department, International Trade Administration2020/11/23
trade.gov2020/11/24過去の傾向を示すのに十分な類似イベントがまだありません。
過去の強気な貿易イベント193件の後、DAP は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +1.8%）、20営業日では +1.9% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Commerce's preliminary CVD rates (21-72.5%) on Moroccan and Russian phosphate, announced Nov 23 with cash deposits starting within days, restrict US import supply and likely drove DAP higher in the window.
