OPEC Supply Rises as Iran Rebound Complicates Balancing Task

過去の弱気な地政学イベント255件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -2.4% 動き（31% が上昇。中央50%は -7.0% から +1.7%）、20営業日では -5.0% 動きました。

• 2025/08/02OPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Another Bumper Supply Increase - Bloomberg-5.1%
• 2025/05/27Oil prices ease as US-Iran talks, OPEC+ plans spur supply concerns+0.9%
• 2026/03/10Oil Drops 15% as Leaders Move to Contain Supply Shock From Iran War - Bloomberg-1.3%
• 2018/09/21Exclusive - OPEC and allies consider oil output boost as Iranian supply falls: source | Reuters+1.9%
• 2026/10/29Oil falls as efforts to revive US-Iran talks ease supply concerns-2.3%

過去の弱気な地政学イベント250件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -3.1% 動き（36% が上昇。中央50%は -7.9% から +1.6%）、20営業日では -5.5% 動きました。

• 2025/08/02OPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Another Bumper Supply Increase - Bloomberg-4.6%
• 2025/05/27Oil prices ease as US-Iran talks, OPEC+ plans spur supply concerns+0.8%
• 2026/03/10Oil Drops 15% as Leaders Move to Contain Supply Shock From Iran War - Bloomberg+4.1%
• 2018/09/21Exclusive - OPEC and allies consider oil output boost as Iranian supply falls: source | Reuters+3.5%
• 2026/10/29Oil falls as efforts to revive US-Iran talks ease supply concerns-5.4%