
StoneX's fertilizer analyst expects phosphate prices to stay firm after China told domestic producers to slow or stop exports, and China supplies about a third of global phosphate exports. Hurricane Ida removed about 300,000 tons of North American production, and Mosaic stopped selling MAP for the rest of the year while still offering DAP.
Inventories are tight and countervailing duties limit imports.
With global export supply reduced and North American inventories low, phosphate prices are likely to stay elevated into the spring application season, raising costs for US producers.
過去の強気な政策イベント151件の後、DAP は5営業日で中央値 +0.0% 動き(50% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.9%)、20営業日では +1.9% 動きました。
過去の傾向を示すのに十分な類似イベントがまだありません。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
StoneX expects firm phosphate prices because China curbs exports (about a third of global trade), Ida removed about 300k tons of output, and tight inventories plus duties limit imports, all of which support DAP.