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African swine fever was detected in the Dominican Republic in July 2021 and has spread across the Caribbean, the first detection in the Western Hemisphere in about 40 years. The article warns that the disease is close to the US and could halt pork exports worth more than $7 billion a year if it arrived.
The USDA has pledged $500 million for surveillance.
A US outbreak would likely cut domestic hog demand and close export markets, which is bearish for lean hog prices. The risk is still conditional, so the current price effect is limited to sentiment.
wired.comMaryn McKenna2021/10/12過去の弱気な疾病イベント117件の後、ホッグ(リーン) は5営業日で中央値 -0.6% 動き（36% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +1.6%）、20営業日では +1.2% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
