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2023/01/10天候米国

Three drought years expected to push US cattle inventory to 72-year low

AFBF economist Bernt Nelson said three consecutive La Niña drought years depleted western pastures and feed supplies, forcing heavy herd liquidation. Analysts expected the January cattle report to show a 4% to 6% drop in national inventory.

重要性

Drought-driven herd liquidation shrinks the breeding herd for years, which supports higher cattle prices and keeps demand for feed firm.

影響を受ける銘柄生牛▲フィーダー牛▲

1 件のソース
michiganfarmnews.comDennis Rudat, Farm News Media2023/01/10

価格反応と履歴

生牛▲強気現時点1d 0.0%5d -0.3%20d +1.1%

過去の強気な天候イベント80件の後、生牛は5営業日で中央値 +0.1% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -0.8% から +1.3%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

2022/11/02Terrain | Drought-forced Cattle Movement Expected to Impact Markets into 2023+0.4%
2018/02/12Drought relief expected to help grain and cattle outlook - High Plains Journal+1.5%
2021/08/18US drought could have implications for beef exports | The Cattle Site+1.9%
2022/07/28Fewer cattle expected as cow herds shrink due to drought | The Western Producer-0.1%
2021/11/10The Cycle of Drought, Cowherd Liquidation and Higher Feeder Cattle Prices+0.7%

フィーダー牛▲強気現時点1d +0.4%5d -2.2%20d +1.9%

過去の強気な天候イベント79件の後、フィーダー牛は5営業日で中央値 +0.1% 動き（53% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +1.7%）、20営業日では +1.4% 動きました。

2018/02/12Drought relief expected to help grain and cattle outlook - High Plains Journal+2.4%
2021/08/18US drought could have implications for beef exports | The Cattle Site+1.3%
2022/07/28Fewer cattle expected as cow herds shrink due to drought | The Western Producer+0.1%
2021/11/10The Cycle of Drought, Cowherd Liquidation and Higher Feeder Cattle Prices-1.4%
2025/03/27Scientists expect more drought this year in parts of the Midwest and Great Plains | NPR Illinois+0.7%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

生牛 LCATTLE · GP ▸

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フィーダー牛 FCATTLE · GP ▸

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