BofA hikes 2024 oil forecasts on tighter supply, geopolitical risks

過去の強気なマクロイベント323件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -2.9% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2024/04/09Morgan Stanley lifts Q3 Brent crude oil forecast on geopolitical risk-0.6%
• 2021/10/15Oil prices rise to three-year high on back of supply deficit forecasts+0.8%
• 2022/08/23Oil jumps nearly 4% on possible OPEC+ supply tightening | Reuters+7.6%
• 2023/08/01Oil posts fifth week of gains on signals of tighter supply+0.6%
• 2026/06/01Analysts hike oil forecasts again as energy flows face slow recovery: Reuters poll+2.9%

過去の強気なマクロイベント487件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +1.0% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +4.0%）、20営業日では +1.5% 動きました。

• 2021/10/15Oil prices rise to three-year high on back of supply deficit forecasts+1.5%
• 2022/08/23Oil jumps nearly 4% on possible OPEC+ supply tightening | Reuters+5.3%
• 2023/08/01Oil posts fifth week of gains on signals of tighter supply+0.2%
• 2026/06/01Analysts hike oil forecasts again as energy flows face slow recovery: Reuters poll+3.5%
• 2022/02/03Canadian dollar forecasts turn more bullish as oil hits 7-year high: Reuters poll+1.6%