AHDB's daily grain report says La Niña could return in summer 2024, with NOAA putting the chance at 65% for July to September and 85% for November to January. UK feed wheat futures eased on strong expected US end-of-season stocks and improving Russian crop prospects.
The report notes La Niña often causes major weather changes in many regions.
Expected La Niña weather could affect crop yields in several exporting regions, which supports the price outlook for wheat. Current pressure on wheat prices comes mainly from ample supply, so the weather risk is a longer-term support.
過去の強気な天候イベント1,072件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き(55% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.3%)、20営業日では +0.3% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。