Oil gains on supply concerns, investors await July OPEC+ output decision

過去の強気なマクロイベント487件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +1.0% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +4.0%）、20営業日では +1.5% 動きました。

• 2018/01/25Column: OPEC's output restraint tightens oil inventories and spreads-1.3%
• 2026/09/28Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH+9.2%
• 2020/07/29Canadian dollar gains as investors sell greenbacks on ‘downbeat’ Fed - The Globe and Mail+1.8%
• 2017/11/30Rupee closes at 64.46 over concerns on fiscal deficit, oil supply cut | Money & Forex Markets - Business Standard-2.5%
• 2017/11/30Rupee falters on fiscal deficit, oil concerns; down 15 paise | India.com-2.5%

過去の強気なマクロイベント323件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -2.9% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2018/01/25Column: OPEC's output restraint tightens oil inventories and spreads-2.6%
• 2026/09/28Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH+7.0%
• 2022/08/23Oil jumps nearly 4% on possible OPEC+ supply tightening | Reuters+7.6%
• 2023/08/01Oil posts fifth week of gains on signals of tighter supply+0.6%
• 2024/10/30Oil rises on U.S. stockpiles drawdown, OPEC+ mulls output hike delay+7.2%

過去の強気なマクロイベント105件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 -0.4% 動き（45% が上昇。中央50%は -3.4% から +1.8%）、20営業日では +1.2% 動きました。

• 2026/09/28Oil Market Split Shows Why Fuel Shortages Are Outpacing Crude Supply | Investing.com PH-4.7%
• 2022/09/27Surging bond yields spook investors, capping Canadian dollar gains - The Globe and Mail+9.6%
• 2023/07/31WTI, Brent Notch 15% Monthly Gain on Tightening OPEC-Plus Supply+3.6%
• 2022/03/10EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX falls as dollar gains on inflation data; rouble steadies - Supply Chain Council of European Union | Scceu.org-11.3%
• 2023/08/29America Runs on Oil – But Can U.S. Diesel Stockpiles Keep Up? - Supply Chain Technology News+1.4%