2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch

過去の弱気な天候イベント357件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 -0.3% 動き（44% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +1.3%）、20営業日では -0.5% 動きました。

• 2025/08/27La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac+3.6%
• 2019/03/22vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup-1.9%
• 2017/12/22Ag Weather Forum: Favorable South America Rain Outlook | La Niña Ready Nations+0.1%
• 2023/04/21As El Niño Makes Its Grand Return, Here's What It Tells Us About Summer Weather and Corn Yields - AgWeb-1.6%
• 2026/06/04Corn and soybeans extend losses as favorable crop weather improves outlook-2.5%

過去の弱気な天候イベント363件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 -0.6% 動き（42% が上昇。中央50%は -2.5% から +1.1%）、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。

• 2025/08/27La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac-1.2%
• 2019/03/22vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup-2.3%
• 2025/12/12La Niña Is Fading: What It Means for South American Crop Potential - AgWeb-3.8%
• 2017/12/22Ag Weather Forum: Favorable South America Rain Outlook | La Niña Ready Nations+0.3%
• 2025/11/07Wet Argentine farmland offsets drier La Nina outlook | Reuters+3.7%