Canadian Dollar consolidates vs USD as BoC, FOMC decisions loom

過去の強気な地政学イベント626件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +2.1% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +8.5%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。

• 2022/02/22Canadian dollar firms as oil surges on rising Russia-Ukraine tensions - The Globe and Mail+5.3%
• 2023/12/18Canadian dollar retreats from four-month high ahead of CPI data+3.1%
• 2025/12/22Canadian dollar rises ahead of GDP data as oil prices climb | Reuters+2.1%
• 2022/07/18Canadian dollar perks up with oil back near $100-2.2%
• 2026/03/02Dollar (USD) Gains as Higher Oil Prices Damp Bets on Fed Rate Cuts - Bloomberg+35.6%

過去の強気な地政学イベント656件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.9% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +6.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2026/03/30Canadian dollar hits nearly four-month low as war raises growth concerns | MarketScreener Canada+1.2%
• 2025/12/22Canadian dollar rises ahead of GDP data as oil prices climb | Reuters+2.6%
• 2022/07/18Canadian dollar perks up with oil back near $100-1.5%
• 2026/03/02Dollar (USD) Gains as Higher Oil Prices Damp Bets on Fed Rate Cuts - Bloomberg+31.0%
• 2022/02/24Canadian dollar hits two-month low as Russia invades Ukraine - The Globe and Mail+18.2%

過去の強気な地政学イベント89件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 +0.5% 動き（74% が上昇。中央50%は -0.0% から +1.0%）、20営業日では +0.3% 動きました。

• 2026/03/02Dollar (USD) Gains as Higher Oil Prices Damp Bets on Fed Rate Cuts - Bloomberg+1.4%
• 2022/02/24Canadian dollar hits two-month low as Russia invades Ukraine - The Globe and Mail+1.0%
• 2021/07/19Canadian dollar falls by most in 13 months on rising risk aversion | Financial Post+0.4%
• 2026/03/30AUD/USD weakens as Trump-driven risk aversion boosts US Dollar-0.2%
• 2026/08/24Dollar higher after Iran sanctions, loonie drops after US announces tariff increases | MarketScreener Canada+0.6%