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CME Group reports rising demand for fertilizer futures as market participants respond to uncertainty over farm input supply from the Iran war. Aggregate open interest in its benchmark urea contract has reached a four-year high.
CME attributes the surge in enquiries directly to Middle East developments.
Heavier hedging activity in urea futures signals that buyers expect continued supply risk through the Gulf, which can keep nitrogen prices supported into the fall buying season. For feed buyers this is a cost-side signal rather than an immediate price move.
過去の強気な地政学イベント205件の後、尿素 は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き(53% が上昇。中央50%は -2.1% から +3.0%)、20営業日では -0.4% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。