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2018/06/25マクログローバル

COT Dollar strength and trade fears trigger big changes across forex and commodities

The speculative dollar position against nine IMM currencies recorded its biggest bullish shift on record in the week to June 19, as traders bought $17.5 billion and held a gross long for the first time in a year. Hedge funds cut bullish commodity bets by 14%, mainly in metals and grains.

重要性

Dollar strength and fund liquidation of grain longs weigh on US commodity prices, as a stronger dollar makes exports less competitive.

影響を受ける銘柄米ドル指数(広範)▲トウモロコシ▼小麦(SRW)▼大豆▼

1 件のソース
home.saxoOle Hansen2018/06/25

価格反応と履歴

米ドル指数(広範)▲強気現時点1d -0.0%5d -0.0%20d +0.1%

過去の強気なマクロイベント2,356件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -0.3% から +0.7%）、20営業日では +0.4% 動きました。

2022/09/08The Commodities Feed: USD strength and demand worries | articles | ING THINK-0.3%
2022/07/01WCU: Peak recession fears bring commodities down to earth | Saxo+1.2%
2018/10/03US dollar strengthens after Fed comments - The Business Times+0.6%
2020/09/23Dollar Strengthens; Helped by Housing Data and Fed Comments+0.8%
2025/09/26Ringgit edges lower on upbeat US jobs and GDP data, with traders bracing for more dollar strength | Malay Mail-0.1%

トウモロコシ▼弱気現時点1d -1.1%5d -1.1%20d -3.7%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント301件の後、トウモロコシは5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（47% が上昇。中央50%は -2.2% から +1.3%）、20営業日では +0.2% 動きました。

2022/09/27Dollar rally, recession fears wreak havoc on commodities+1.8%
2020/02/08DOLLAR INDEX HAS A STRONG WEEK AS EURO FALLS -- GLOBAL INVESTORS ARE FAVORING U.S. ASSETS -- STRONGER $ WEAKENS COMMODITIES -- AND FOREIGN STOCK ETFS-1.6%
2021/02/27Commodity returns plunge the most in months amid stronger dollar+0.6%
2024/04/28US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities+0.9%
2019/04/22The dollar is too strong for U.S. companies-1.1%

小麦(SRW)▼弱気現時点1d -0.8%5d -0.0%20d -0.6%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント69件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 -0.5% 動き（35% が上昇。中央50%は -2.6% から +0.8%）、20営業日では -0.7% 動きました。

2021/02/27Commodity returns plunge the most in months amid stronger dollar+1.8%
2020/04/28Dollar strength creates headwinds - Dakota Midland Grain+2.8%
2023/04/21Commodity Weekly: April losses led by grains and industrial metals | Saxo-8.6%
2020/06/04Feedgrain Focus: Stronger Aussie dollar pressures prices - Grain Central-0.0%
2024/02/05Soybeans, Wheat and Corn Pushed Down by Strong Dollar | February 5, 2024-1.3%

大豆▼弱気現時点1d -2.2%5d -4.0%20d -5.2%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント273件の後、大豆は5営業日で中央値 -0.4% 動き（44% が上昇。中央50%は -2.4% から +1.4%）、20営業日では -0.5% 動きました。

2022/09/27Dollar rally, recession fears wreak havoc on commodities-2.6%
2020/02/08DOLLAR INDEX HAS A STRONG WEEK AS EURO FALLS -- GLOBAL INVESTORS ARE FAVORING U.S. ASSETS -- STRONGER $ WEAKENS COMMODITIES -- AND FOREIGN STOCK ETFS+1.3%
2021/02/27Commodity returns plunge the most in months amid stronger dollar+2.1%
2024/04/28US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities+3.6%
2018/03/02Dollar tumbles as US tariff plan ignites trade war fears-0.4%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

米ドル指数(広範) DXY · GP ▸

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トウモロコシ CORN · GP ▸

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