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2022/06/14マクロブラジル

Analysis: Exchange rate unlikely to mean trouble for Brazil’s Central Bank

Brazil's real weakened sharply on Tuesday, June 14, 2022, closing at R$5.133 per dollar. The Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) was set to announce a new Selic target that Wednesday.

Policymakers use the prior week's average exchange rate (R$4.8909) in their inflation projections, which limits the effect of the spike.

重要性

Because Copom's inflation forecast uses the prior week's average rate, the one-day currency move is unlikely to change the policy path. A weaker real raises the local-currency cost of imported inputs, which keeps feed-ingredient import costs elevated for Brazilian buyers.

影響を受ける銘柄ブラジルレアル(1 USDあたりBRL)▲

1 件のソース
valorinternational.globo.comAlex Ribeiro2022/06/14

価格反応と履歴

ブラジルレアル(1 USDあたりBRL)▲強気現時点1d +0.7%5d +0.7%20d +5.4%

過去の強気なマクロイベント301件の後、ブラジルレアル(1 USDあたりBRL) は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き（57% が上昇。中央50%は -1.2% から +1.7%）、20営業日では +1.0% 動きました。

2017/04/12Brazilian central bank likely to cut key rate by 100 bps, says Commerzbank | EconoTimes-1.5%
2022/02/24Analysis: War shuffles moves of central banks in Brazil, abroad+2.7%
2023/05/24Lula’s Feud with Brazil’s Central Bank Raises Rates Dilemma to Global Stage+3.1%
2020/05/15Brazil Exchange Rate May 2020 - FocusEconomics-5.4%
2026/10/01Brazilian Real: Exchange rate seen weaker into year-end – Rabobank-3.5%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

ブラジルレアル(1 USDあたりBRL) USDBRL · GP ▸

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