FX Daily: Dollar bears may have jumped the gun

過去の弱気なマクロイベント1,637件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（39% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.3%）、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。

• 2021/04/28FX Daily: The patient Fed and the “nervous” dollar | articles | ING THINK+0.3%
• 2024/01/24FX Daily: Unwinding the spurious dollar rally | articles | ING THINK-0.4%
• 2022/11/11FX Daily: Too early for a broad dollar downtrend | articles | ING THINK-0.7%
• 2020/04/02FX: In the dollar we do not trust | articles | ING THINK-0.5%
• 2025/04/16G10 FX Talking: The medium-term dollar bear trend develops | articles | ING THINK-1.1%

過去の強気なマクロイベント151件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（57% が上昇。中央50%は -0.9% から +1.4%）、20営業日では -0.3% 動きました。

• 2019/06/17FX Talking: The beginning of the end of the dollar’s rally | reports | ING THINK-0.8%
• 2023/10/31US dollar falls as markets believe Fed is done hiking rates | Reuters+1.1%
• 2021/05/06Commodities are buoyant but supply concerns are still a worry | articles | ING THINK+0.6%
• 2017/09/29Can the US dollar make a comeback? | South China Morning Post+3.1%
• 2020/12/03Grains and the Dollar: An Imperfect but Negative Relationship+0.0%

過去の強気なマクロイベント123件の後、大豆 は5営業日で中央値 +0.3% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -1.0% から +1.8%）、20営業日では -0.4% 動きました。

• 2019/06/17FX Talking: The beginning of the end of the dollar’s rally | reports | ING THINK+0.7%
• 2023/10/31US dollar falls as markets believe Fed is done hiking rates | Reuters+4.5%
• 2021/05/06Commodities are buoyant but supply concerns are still a worry | articles | ING THINK+5.0%
• 2018/05/16‘Start selling so dollars come in,’ Argentine soybean farmers are told+1.2%
• 2017/09/29Can the US dollar make a comeback? | South China Morning Post+0.9%