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Oil prices spiked and then crashed in March 2022, driven by medium-term fundamentals, strain from disruption to Russian oil exports, and thin market liquidity. The short-term trigger for the sell-off was improved prospects for a truce between Russia and Ukraine.
Extreme crude volatility transmits directly into diesel and energy costs for feed mills and farms, and a Russia-Ukraine truce would ease supply fears that had supported grain and oilseed prices.
reuters.comJohn Kemp17 mar 2022Dopo 255 eventi geopolitica ribassista passati, Petrolio greggio (WTI) si è mosso in mediana di -2,4% in 5 sedute (31% in rialzo; metà centrale da -7,0% a +1,7%), e di -5,0% in 20.
Dopo 250 eventi geopolitica ribassista passati, Petrolio greggio (Brent) si è mosso in mediana di -3,1% in 5 sedute (36% in rialzo; metà centrale da -7,9% a +1,6%), e di -5,5% in 20.
Dopo 51 eventi geopolitica ribassista passati, ULSD / Gasolio si è mosso in mediana di -2,4% in 5 sedute (37% in rialzo; metà centrale da -8,2% a +3,9%), e di -2,3% in 20.
Variazioni del benchmark di ciascuna materia prima rispetto all'ultima chiusura prima dell'evento. Le letture storiche raggruppano eventi passati dello stesso tipo; descrivono ciò che è accaduto, non ciò che accadrà. Non è consulenza di investimento.
The sell-off was triggered by improved truce prospects and aggravated by thin liquidity, explaining the sharp collapse.
Explains the crash as unwinding of a spike on thin liquidity, with improved truce prospects as the trigger.
The sell-off was attributed to improved truce prospects and thin liquidity, which amplified the downward move.
The mid-March sell-off on truce hopes created the depressed starting level, so the following rebound was large in percentage terms.
