Caricamento…
The euro fell 1.8% to about $1.07 after Trump's election win, its worst one-day drop since March 2020. ABN Amro, ING and Manulife expect the euro to slide toward parity with the dollar, and Mizuho and Deutsche Bank forecast $1.03 and $1.05 by year-end.
Wider rate differentials favor the dollar, which lowers dollar-denominated commodity prices and raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for euro-based buyers.
bloomberg.comAlice Atkins, Vassilis Karamanis, Greg Ritchie6 nov 2024Dopo 533 eventi macro ribassista passati, Euro (USD per EUR) si è mosso in mediana di -0,3% in 5 sedute (33% in rialzo; metà centrale da -1,2% a +0,2%), e di -0,5% in 20.
Dopo 2356 eventi macro rialzista passati, Dollaro USA (ampio) si è mosso in mediana di +0,2% in 5 sedute (60% in rialzo; metà centrale da -0,3% a +0,7%), e di +0,4% in 20.
Variazioni del benchmark di ciascuna materia prima rispetto all'ultima chiusura prima dell'evento. Le letture storiche raggruppano eventi passati dello stesso tipo; descrivono ciò che è accaduto, non ciò che accadrà. Non è consulenza di investimento.
Documents the 1.8% euro drop, its worst day since March 2020, with rate divergence and parity forecasts reflecting the same post-election repricing.
The euro suffered its worst one-day drop since 2020 after Trump's win, as rate divergence and tariff risk drove parity calls; this is the main driver of the 5-day decline.
Euro's worst one-day drop since 2020 is the mirror image of dollar strength, since the euro is the largest weight in the broad index.
Euro fell 1.8% in its worst day since 2020 on rate divergence, mechanically boosting the dollar basket.
