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Brazil's currency and markets came under pressure after Donald Trump was confirmed as US president. The US dollar opened at 3.248 reais, up 2.59 percent, and several analysts forecast further real weakness toward 3.40 to 3.60 per dollar.
Analysts expected a negative impact on the Bovespa stock index.
Analysts expect a weaker real to push up Brazil's import costs and inflation, which may slow monetary easing. For feed buyers, a stronger dollar raises the cost of dollar-priced imported ingredients while supporting Brazilian export competitiveness.
bnamericas.com9 nov 2016Dopo 301 eventi macro rialzista passati, Real brasiliano (BRL per USD) si è mosso in mediana di +0,4% in 5 sedute (57% in rialzo; metà centrale da -1,2% a +1,7%), e di +1,0% in 20.
Dopo 2356 eventi macro rialzista passati, Dollaro USA (ampio) si è mosso in mediana di +0,2% in 5 sedute (60% in rialzo; metà centrale da -0,3% a +0,7%), e di +0,4% in 20.
Variazioni del benchmark di ciascuna materia prima rispetto all'ultima chiusura prima dell'evento. Le letture storiche raggruppano eventi passati dello stesso tipo; descrivono ciò che è accaduto, non ciò che accadrà. Non è consulenza di investimento.
Trump's election win on 2016-11-09 triggered a sentiment-driven selloff in emerging-market assets, with USD/BRL opening up about 2.6%, which accounts for much of the move ending 2016-11-10.
Trump's election win on Nov 9 triggered an immediate sell-off in the real (USD opened +2.59% at 3.248), starting the 5-day move via risk-off and EM capital flight sentiment.
The real fell 2.6% against the dollar on 2016-11-09, showing EM currency weakness that contributed to the broad dollar index gain, though it is one currency's view.
