
Urea prices edged up after a successful India tender, with Egyptian sellers concluding smaller cargoes to Europe at USD 393/tonne FOB and Dangote reportedly selling cargoes in the mid-to-high USD 340s FOB. Southeast Asian urea sales were reported in the low-to-middle USD 360s FOB, while Indonesian exports remain absent.
Suggestions of a large Chinese oversupply raise the prospect of renewed Chinese exports.
Tender-driven demand is lifting urea prices, but a possible return of Chinese export volumes could cap gains and pressure prices in the coming months. Buyers should expect firm nitrogen costs near term with downside risk if China resumes exports.
Dopo 176 eventi commercio rialzista passati, Urea si è mosso in mediana di +0,1% in 5 sedute (51% in rialzo; metà centrale da -1,3% a +2,4%), e di +1,6% in 20.
Variazioni del benchmark di ciascuna materia prima rispetto all'ultima chiusura prima dell'evento. Le letture storiche raggruppano eventi passati dello stesso tipo; descrivono ciò che è accaduto, non ciò che accadrà. Non è consulenza di investimento.
A successful India tender and firmer FOB offers from Egypt, Nigeria and Southeast Asia point to stronger demand and a price uplift, though the note describes only a modest gain and flags Chinese export risk, and it predates the move by a few days.