Oil needs an Iran supply shock, not tough talk, to break out of range

Dopo 626 eventi geopolitica rialzista passati, Petrolio greggio (WTI) si è mosso in mediana di +2,1% in 5 sedute (62% in rialzo; metà centrale da -2,3% a +8,5%), e di +1,6% in 20.

• 3 mar 2022Oil slides from decade-highs as Iran talks kindle supply hopes | Reuters-1,7%
• 21 mag 2026US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-9,1%
• 17 mag 2026Oil prices rise 3% to two-week high on Iran war supply concerns | Reuters-8,1%
• 18 feb 2026Oil settles up 4% on Iran-US tensions, Russia-Ukraine talks end without breakthrough | Reuters+5,1%
• 6 mag 2026Oil supply shock to worsen as inventories fall further even if conflict ends | Reuters+0,0%

Dopo 656 eventi geopolitica rialzista passati, Petrolio greggio (Brent) si è mosso in mediana di +1,9% in 5 sedute (63% in rialzo; metà centrale da -2,7% a +6,6%), e di +0,7% in 20.

• 3 mar 2022Oil slides from decade-highs as Iran talks kindle supply hopes | Reuters-1,8%
• 21 mag 2026US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-11,6%
• 17 mag 2026Oil prices rise 3% to two-week high on Iran war supply concerns | Reuters-5,7%
• 18 feb 2026Oil settles up 4% on Iran-US tensions, Russia-Ukraine talks end without breakthrough | Reuters+3,5%
• 6 mag 2026Oil supply shock to worsen as inventories fall further even if conflict ends | Reuters-2,3%