
The Brazilian real weakened as much as 2% to 3.78 per dollar, its weakest since March 2016, as a global emerging market selloff led investors to unwind bets on stronger EM currencies. The currency fell for a sixth straight day despite increased central bank intervention, and had lost 11.3% since the start of the year.
Rising US bond yields, driven by expectations of Fed rate hikes, were pulling capital out of higher-yielding emerging markets.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian soybeans, corn and meal, which tends to pressure world feed grain and meal prices while encouraging Brazilian export selling. Feed importers may benefit from cheaper Brazilian origin, but volatility adds hedging costs.
Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Directly describes the real's slump to 3.78 per dollar on 2018-05-18 for a sixth straight day despite central bank intervention, as an EM selloff and rising US yields drove capital out, which is the move in question.