The euro fell to nearly $1.1160, a 17-month low, in thin Asian trading as political concerns in France weighed on it. The French-German 10-year premium is nearly 150 basis points.
Markets have cut the odds of an October Fed hike to under 20% from about 70% a week earlier, and Spain's government lost a housing vote and called an election.
Shifting Fed expectations change the outlook for dollar strength, which affects dollar-priced feed commodities and import costs for non-US buyers. Euro political risk also weighs on European currency and feed-buying power.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 359 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,0% selama 5 sesi (49% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +0,4%), dan -0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.