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Dollar bulls are positioning for Trump's policies, including tariffs and tax cuts, after his election win. Analysts note that in 2016 the dollar rose about 6% in the two months after his victory before giving up those gains, and later rallied about 13% during his tariff push.
A stronger dollar from expected tariffs would cut US export competitiveness and make feed ingredients cheaper for foreign buyers less competitive, a bearish signal for US commodity export prices.
reuters.comSaqib Iqbal Ahmed7 Nov 2024Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
