
Analysts at Nordea note that the Turkish lira is under pressure, but emerging-market flows appear to be improving. Emerging-market bond inflows via ETFs have picked up, and Asian equity outflows have stopped.
The article links this to a flattening US yield curve and rising dollar.
Stabilizing emerging-market flows reduce pressure on currencies such as the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, which affects dollar prices for their exported farm goods. The impact on feed prices is limited for now.
Setelah 92 peristiwa makro netral sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,7% sampai +1,4%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Reports lira pressure alongside a rising dollar and flattening US yield curve, which signals the contagion and dollar-strength backdrop weighing on EM currencies like the real, though it notes EM flows were improving.