
The euro rose to a two-week high against the dollar as traders priced in a likely 75 basis point ECB rate hike in October after euro zone inflation hit a record 10%. The dollar weakened as US Treasury yields fell after weak US manufacturing data.
Expected ECB tightening narrows the rate gap with the US and weakens the dollar, which tends to support dollar-priced commodities such as grains and oilseeds. Feed buyers may see slightly firmer dollar-denominated import costs in Europe.
Setelah 388 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median +0,3% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,4% sampai +1,1%), dan +0,1% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Expectations of a 75bp ECB hike after record 10% inflation, plus lower US yields on weak manufacturing data, lifted the euro to a two-week high.