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Brazil's real fell to a record intraday low of 4.6655 per dollar on Thursday, March 5, 2020. Economy Minister Paulo Guedes blamed the slide on the coronavirus epidemic's economic impact and warned the currency could weaken to 5 per dollar.
He said the move reflected the epidemic rather than a change in Brazil's risk perception.
A weaker real lowers the dollar cost of Brazilian exports, which can pressure dollar-denominated soybean, corn and meal prices. It also raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for Brazilian buyers.
bloomberg.comAline Oyamada5 Mar 2020Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 273 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median -0,4% selama 5 sesi (44% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,4% sampai +1,4%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Same-day record intraday low of the real at 4.6655 per dollar, driven by coronavirus-related risk-off sentiment and rate-cut expectations, directly explains the 2.28% BRL/USD move (currency/sentiment).
